Today, HIV-AIDs is a major global health burden – and particularly so in sub-Saharan Africa, and in Tanzania especially, where over 30 million people have died of the disease. Progress has been made. While there is no vaccine, the development and availability of anti-retroviral treatments (ARTs) is ensuring that the infection is no longer automatically a death sentence. Perhaps nowhere is this a greater triumph than when ART is combined with pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in the prevention of mother to child transmission for HIV+ pregnant women and their babies.
However, the epidemic continues, and in some areas in Africa, such as southern Tanzania, it is actually increasing. Why?
Concurrency
Howlett says that some of the reasons behind differences in the progress of the epidemic in “the West” and Africa are grounded in the cultural differences. Primary among these are the accepted patterns of sexual activity. Howlett refers to the concept of “concurrency”, which was developed by medical doctor, researcher, and journalist, Helen Epstein. Concurrency refers to having long-term concurrent relationships with several partners. This practice is widespread in Africa and contrasts with the more serially monogamous relational behaviour in the West. Howlett also underlines the impact of the rampant poverty in Africa, which can turn sex into a form of currency, in particular for the children orphaned by AIDS, who grow up in a chaos that may render them particularly vulnerable to becoming infected as adults.
Most infectious stage
Another tragic risk factor that we now know, says Howlett, that the disease is at its most infectious state in the first 3 weeks after infection, “Stage One”, when the infected person shows no symptoms, but carries a very high viral load.
Four factors: promiscuity and concurrency, in addition to HIV stage, combined with geographic clustering (urban centres with high sexual activity), and the presence of other sexually transmitted diseases, provide us today with a kind of model for the epidemic. But, what is the way forward?
90-90-90
Globally, there is a great deal of data today about HIV-AIDs, says Howlett. Plans are being made, such as UNAIDS 90-90-90, which states:
- By 2020, 90% of all people living with HIV will know their HIV status.
- By 2020, 90% of all people with diagnosed HIV infection will receive sustained antiretroviral therapy.
- By 2020, 90% of all people receiving antiretroviral therapy will have viral suppression.
Way forward
Howlett believes the way forward to combat this epidemic involves several parallel, complementary approaches.
- Education: a rigorous and targeted approach that moves beyond informing to understanding
- Barrier protection: the condom is to HIV as the mosquito net is to malaria
- Providing drugs to high risk groups: test and treat whole at risk populations
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