The co-production of seasonal forecasts for increased climate resilience in agriculture
We are happy to invite you to the seminar led by Manuel Hempel, PhD candidate at the Department of Geography, UiB and Norce Research. We will meet physically, but you can follow the presentation via Zoom, too.
Main content
Speaker: Manuel Hempel (University of Bergen/Norce Research)
Topic: The co-production of seasonal forecasts for increased climate resilience in agriculture
Time: 20 October 12:15-13:00
Place: Room 744 or ZOOM
In a global context climate change is among the most extensive challenges facing human societies and ecosystems in the decades to come. In combination with a growing world population this trend will increasingly pressure our agriculture systems. A 70% increase of food production by 2050 is required (United Nations) to keep up with global population growth. At the same time, food production is strongly interconnected with and dependent on weather-factors in an increasingly variable climate. This leaves the sector particularly vulnerable to climate induced risks.
My PhD-project aims at investigating how seasonal forecasts can be co-produced and introduced to the Norwegian agriculture sector in order to reduce climate risk exposure.
Seasonal forecasting attempts to provide climate information, such as temperature and precipitation data, for the time range of one to three months. Sitting in between weather forecasts and climate change projections, seasonal forecasts serve as promising tools for the agricultural industry to reduce climate risks by introducing reliable weather data into the seasonal decision-making processes.
What kind of crop to cultivate? Which pests to prepare for? How much fertilizer to apply? When to harvest? These are just some of the fundamental questions that are highly impacted by weather conditions and currently need to be addressed under great uncertainty.
In this presentation I will be giving an overview of my phd-project, preliminary results and ongoing research activities.
